This 1 TSX Stock Popped 15% on Tuesday! Is it a Buy?

OrganiGram Holdings (TSX:OGI)(NASDAQ:OGI) stock rallied by more than 15% on July 13 after releasing its strong Q3 results. But I still don’t find its stock worth buying. Here’s why.

question marks written reminders tickets

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s premium investing services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn moresdf

OrganiGram Holdings (TSX:OGI)(NASDAQ:OGI) stock surged by more than 15% on Tuesday morning. These sharp gains came after the company announced its stronger-than-expected third-quarter results. OrganiGram reported a net loss of about $4 million in the Q3 of its fiscal 2021 — far better than its net loss of about $90 billion in the Q3 of its fiscal 2020.

Let’s look at some key highlights from OrganiGram’s latest quarterly results before discussing whether it’s a good stock to buy right now.

OrganiGram Holdings’s Q3 earnings

In the quarter ended in May 2021, OrganiGram’s net revenue rose by about 13% YoY (year over year) to $20.3 million. Its higher wholesale revenue and a rise in adult-use recreational revenue drove its total net revenue higher. Inventory write-offs and provisions helped the company reduce its costs in the last quarter, driving its gross profits higher.

That’s one of the key reasons why OrganiGram’s Q3 gross margin expanded. The company’s stronger gross profits had a positive impact on its bottom line in the last quarter.

Strong Q4 outlook

Another reason why OrganiGram Holdings stock jumped after its Q3 earnings was because of its strong guidance for the next quarter. The company expects its fourth-quarter sales to be stronger than the third quarter, as it expects higher foot traffic to its stores, as cannabis retail stores start reopening. In addition, OrganiGram, in its latest earnings report, said that it “expects to generate a new and incremental revenue stream from the first sales of soft chews expected in Q4 2021.”

On the profitability side, the company expects its lower production cultivation costs to help it improve its gross margins sequentially in the fourth quarter.

But is its stock worth buying right now?

While OrganiGram Holdings’s short-term outlook looks strong, it’s still extremely difficult to predict the long-term trend in its financials due to the highly regulated pot market and growing competition. OGI stock has already risen by about 120% this year compared to only a 16% rise in the TSX Composite Index. That’s another reason why I find its stock to be overvalued at the moment. Moreover, the extreme volatility of the cannabis stocks also makes it a very risky bet for investors with a low-risk appetite, in my opinion.

In the first half of 2021, the broader market traded on a strongly positive note. However, many fundamentally strong tech stocks haven’t seen much appreciation this year so far. For example, the shares of tech companies like Lightspeed POS (TSX:LSPD)(NYSE:LSPD) and Shopify (TSX:SHOP)(NYSE:SHOP) still have a big room to inch up in the second half of the year. Such stocks could be safer bets for investors right now.

Buy these tech stocks instead

While Shopify stock has seen 32% gains this year, Lightspeed stock is currently trading with only 17% gains. Shopify is gearing up to announce its second-quarter results on July 28, and Lightspeed will announce its June quarter results on August 5. Street analysts expect Lightspeed’s sales to continue to more than double on a YoY basis in the next three quarters with the help of surging demand amid reopening economies.

In contrast, Shopify’s sales growth rate might slow in the coming quarters. But I expect its sales growth rate to remain much stronger than most other Canadian growth companies, as the demand for e-commerce services remains strong. That’s why I expect both of these tech stocks to rally in the second half of 2021.

Overall, investing in high-growth stocks like Shopify and Lightspeed could be a much better idea for long-term investors at the moment than risking their hard-earned money in cannabis stocks like OrganiGram.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Lightspeed POS Inc, OrganiGram Holdings, and Shopify. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2023 $1,140 calls on Shopify and short January 2023 $1,160 calls on Shopify. Fool contributor Jitendra Parashar has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

More on Cannabis Stocks

Cannabis smoke
Cannabis Stocks

Canopy Growth Stock: Is Now a Good Time to Invest?

The road ahead is highly uncertain for Canopy Growth, as the stock is plagued with losses and seemingly unsurmountable industry…

Read more »

Cannabis grows at a commercial farm.
Cannabis Stocks

TLRY Stock: Should You Invest Now?

TLRY is a Canadian cannabis stock which is trading 91% below record highs. Let's see if you should own TLRY…

Read more »

Cannabis grows at a commercial farm.
Cannabis Stocks

Is Tilray Stock a Buy in February 2023?

Despite the volatile cannabis sector, Tilray could be a superb buy for long-term investors.

Read more »

Young woman sat at laptop by a window
Cannabis Stocks

Is SNDL Stock a Buy in February 2023?

SNDL is a beaten-down cannabis stock. While its revenue growth is exceptional, a weak balance sheet has driven stock prices…

Read more »

A cannabis plant grows.
Cannabis Stocks

TLRY Stock: Here’s What’s Coming in 2023

Tilray Inc. (TSX:TLRY) is geared up for big growth this decade and looks like one of the top cannabis stocks…

Read more »

A person holds a small glass jar of marijuana.
Cannabis Stocks

Canopy Growth Stock: Here’s What’s Coming in 2023

Canopy Growth stock has made a lot of new moves in the last few months, but where is the company…

Read more »

A cannabis plant grows.
Cannabis Stocks

Better Cannabis Buy: Canopy Growth Stock or Tilray?

Only two TSX weed stocks can deliver substantial returns in the highly anticipated growth of the global cannabis market.

Read more »

Medicinal research is conducted on cannabis.
Cannabis Stocks

Is Tilray Stock a Buy in January 2023?

Tilray stock has lost 50% of its value in the last 12 months, in line with its peers.

Read more »