As Markets Touch Record Highs, Warren Buffett Looks to Be Wary of Valuations

The broader markets have shown a remarkable bounce-back rally since last year, but Warren Buffett has largely been a net seller of stocks.

| More on:
close-up photo of investor Warren Buffett

Image source: The Motley Fool

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s premium investing services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn moresdf

Legendary investor Warren Buffett has really not been a part of the recent rally. The broader markets have shown a remarkable bounce-back rally since last year, but he has largely been a net seller of stocks in this period. In Q1 2021 as well, Buffett-led Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B) stayed away from the rally and continued to remain cautious.

Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway

Institutional investors release their stock holdings through 13F filings after 45 days of the quarter-end. Berkshire Hathaway’s 13F filing is unquestionably one of the biggest events across the streets, which recently disclosed its trades during Q1 2021.

Remarkably, Berkshire Hathaway trimmed its stake in the energy and financial sectors in Q1 2021. Top Canadian energy giant Suncor Energy (TSX:SU)(NYSE:SU) was the sole Canadian stock in Berkshire’s portfolio, which was first bought in Q4 2018. However, the Oracle of Omaha entirely got rid of it during the quarter. He also sold a large chunk of Chevron Corporation in the same quarter initiated in Q4 2020.

Notably, a significant trimming of its exposure to energy suggests a gloomy outlook for the sector. The legendary investor might have a not-so-bright view on crude oil as it has more than doubled since last year.

Berkshire Hathaway’s cash hoard

The stock portfolio of Berkshire Hathaway was valued at US$270 billion at the end of the quarter. Interestingly, it is sitting on a cash balance of more than US$145 billion as of Q1 2021. BRK sold almost US$6.5 billion of stocks and bought US$2.6 billion of stocks during the first quarter.

This cash balance has notably swelled in the last few years as Buffett ran short of worthy opportunities. He has been looking for an “elephant-sized acquisition” for the last few years. However, the famed value investor has been unable to deploy the cash amid rallying markets. Another reason for having such a massive cash balance could be to provide padding to Buffett’s successor.

During the pandemic-led epic crash last year as well, Berkshire Hathaway was defensive and stayed on the sidelines. Since then, markets have displayed enormous vigour amid the re-opening hopes and economic recovery. The S&P 500 is up almost 62%, while the TSX Composite Index has soared around 45% since last March.

While Warren Buffett deeply advocates long-term investing, Berkshire Hathaway has seen plenty of short-term trades recently. Stocks like Wells Fargo and Coca-Cola have been there in Berkshire’s holdings for decades. But it reduced stake in some top names such as Chevron, Barrick Gold, and AbbVie in less than a year. The short-term trades could be from Buffett’s investment managers Todd Combs and Ted Weschler.

Bottom line

Warren Buffett’s play-safe approach does not seem totally out of context. While stocks might continue to rally post-pandemic, higher inflation, plug on free money, and uneven economic recovery globally pose a serious threat to markets.

Only time will tell whether Buffett’s caution is warranted or not. But, with that cash hoard, he will certainly have the last laugh if markets take an ugly turn from here.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Vineet Kulkarni has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Berkshire Hathaway (B shares) and recommends the following options: short January 2023 $200 puts on Berkshire Hathaway (B shares), short June 2021 $240 calls on Berkshire Hathaway (B shares), and long January 2023 $200 calls on Berkshire Hathaway (B shares).

More on Dividend Stocks

growing plant shoots on stacked coins
Dividend Stocks

5 Dividend Stocks to Buy With Yields Upwards of 5%

These five companies all earn tonnes of cash flow, making them some of the best long-term dividend stocks you can…

Read more »

funds, money, nest egg
Dividend Stocks

TFSA Investors: 3 Stocks to Start Building an Influx of Passive Income

A TFSA is the ideal registered account for passive income, as it doesn't weigh down your tax bill, and any…

Read more »

A red umbrella stands higher than a crowd of black umbrellas.
Dividend Stocks

3 of the Safest Dividend Stocks in Canada

Royal Bank of Canada stock is one of the safest TSX dividend stocks to buy. So is CT REIT and…

Read more »

Growing plant shoots on coins
Dividend Stocks

1 of the Top Canadian Growth Stocks to Buy in February 2023

Many top Canadian growth stocks represent strong underlying businesses, healthy financials, and organic growth opportunities.

Read more »

stock research, analyze data
Dividend Stocks

Wherever the Market Goes, I’m Buying These 3 TSX Stocks

Here are three TSX stocks that could outperform irrespective of the market direction.

Read more »

woman data analyze
Dividend Stocks

1 Oversold Dividend Stock (Yielding 6.5%) to Buy This Month

Here's why SmartCentres REIT (TSX:SRU.UN) is one top dividend stock that long-term investors should consider in this current market.

Read more »

IMAGE OF A NOTEBOOK WITH TFSA WRITTEN ON IT
Dividend Stocks

Better TFSA Buy: Enbridge Stock or Bank of Nova Scotia

Enbridge and Bank of Nova Scotia offer high yields for TFSA investors seeking passive income. Is one stock now undervalued?

Read more »

Golden crown on a red velvet background
Dividend Stocks

2 Top Stocks Just Became Canadian Dividend Aristocrats

These two top Canadian Dividend Aristocrats stocks are reliable companies with impressive long-term growth potential.

Read more »