Was Warren Buffett Right to Bail on Canada’s Housing Market?

Almost two years removed from his multi-billion-dollar investment in the Canadian housing market, did Warren Buffett make the right move in cutting ties with Home Capital Group Inc (TSX:HCG)?

| More on:
Community homes

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s premium investing services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn moresdf

It’s been almost two years ago now since world-famous billionaire investor Warren Buffett made headlines across the country when he announced his intention to bail out Home Capital Group (TSX:HCG), ultimately saving the firm from what then seemed like almost certain insolvency.

While others at the time were questioning whether Home Capital would make it through the end of the year, Buffett, through his holding company Berkshire Hathaway, offered to step in and provide the then-embattled mortgage lender with a $2 billion emergency line of credit in addition to an equity stake in the firm, then valued at as much as US$400 million.

That additional element, the ownership piece, and Berkshire’s willingness to align its interests directly alongside those of the company’s existing shareholders ultimately served to restore investor confidence in the company.

After all, if Buffett was willing to be an owner, why wouldn’t anyone else want to be?

Between May and June of 2017, HCG stock would go on to rally from its intraday low just pennies north of $5 per share to new highs of more than $20 per share.

Since then the stock has worked to find support trading often between the mid-to-high teens, as the company’s leadership team under the direction of new CEO Yousry Bissada, works diligently to regain its footing and to restore its credibility as a trusted alternative lending institution.

Ironically, one of the most volatile periods to hit HCG stock since the Berkshire bailout came late last year in December, when Buffett announced that BRK was planning to “substantially exit” its position in Home Capital.

As part of the original rescue deal, Buffett had negotiated an option whereby he would be entitled to increase his ownership stake from the original 19.9% up to 38.4%.

But when it came to a vote in September of later that year, HCG shareholders voted against granting Buffett the additional stake because of the dilutive impact it would have had on their existing ownership positions.

Foolish bottom line

Despite that the Buffett-Home Capital marriage only ended up lasting a grand total of less than two years, it would still be difficult to argue both parties aren’t better off today for having been party to it.

Buffett and BRK, of course, walked away with their line of credit paid back in full in addition to a tidy return on Berkshire’s short-lived equity stake in the company.

Meanwhile, Home Capital has enjoyed the benefit of having its investor confidence restored while continuing to make progress, even in the time since Buffett’s departure, including year-over-year growth in mortgage loan originations, deposits, and net income during the first quarter.

Yet even despite its progress, HCG shares continue to trade below their reported tangible book value, making this an interesting investment idea should the Canadian housing market continue to display strength.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Jason Phillips has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of Berkshire Hathaway (B shares).

More on Bank Stocks

Bank sign on traditional europe building facade
Bank Stocks

The 3 Canadian Bank Stocks Worthy of Your TFSA

TD Bank (TSX:TD) and two other Big Six Canadian bank stocks look like great value options for TFSA investors in…

Read more »

think thought consider
Bank Stocks

RBC Stock: Should You Invest in February 2023?

Royal Bank of Canada has delivered stellar returns to investors in the last 20 years. But is RBC stock a…

Read more »

Bank Stocks

I Keep Buying Shares of This Dividend Stock Hand Over Fist

I have been buying shares of Toronto-Dominion Bank (TSX:TD) hand over fist for years.

Read more »

calculate and analyze stock
Bank Stocks

BNS Stock: A Smart Investment Today?

BNS stock has risen 11% in 2023 so far. But is it worth buying today? Let’s find out.

Read more »

edit Businessman using calculator next to laptop
Bank Stocks

Why RBC Stock Is the Most Valuable Stock on the TSX Today

Any investor can have peace of mind their growing wealth long term by owning Royal Bank of Canada (TSX:RY) shares…

Read more »

sad concerned deep in thought
Bank Stocks

Is goeasy the Best Growth Stock to Buy in February 2023?

goeasy stock has lost 15% in the last 12 months but has returned over 250% in the last five years.…

Read more »

Man holding magnifying glass over a document
Bank Stocks

BMO Stock: Is it a Good Investment Today?

Have you considered BMO for your portfolio? Here’s why this big bank may be a good investment for today, tomorrow,…

Read more »

question marks written reminders tickets
Bank Stocks

TD Stock: Is it a Good Investment Today?

TD stock is up more than 6% in 2023. Are more gains on the way?

Read more »