Why Shopify Inc. Is Down Over 2%

Shopify Inc. (TSX:SHOP)(NYSE:SHOP) is down over 2% in pre-market trading following its blowout Q4 2017 earnings release this morning. Should you buy today?

| More on:
The Motley Fool
You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s premium investing services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn more

Shopify Inc. (TSX:SHOP)(NYSE:SHOP), the leading cloud-based, multi-channel commerce platform for small- and medium-sized businesses, released its fiscal 2017 fourth-quarter and full-year earnings results this morning, and its NYSE-listed shares have responded by falling over 2% in pre-market trading. Let’s break down the results to determine if we should consider using this weakness as a long-term buying opportunity.

A phenomenal financial performance

Here’s a quick breakdown of 10 of the most notable statistics from Shopify’s three-month period ended December 31, 2017, compared with the same period in 2016:

Metric Q4 2017 Q4 2016 Change
Subscription solutions revenues US$93.92 million US$56.39 million 66.6%
Merchant solutions revenues US$128.90 million US$74.00 million 74.2%
Total revenues US$222.81 million US$130.38 million 70.9%
Gross profit US$121.52 million US$68.35 million 77.8%
Adjusted operating income (loss) US$11.58 million (US$807,000) >100%
Adjusted net income (loss) US$14.71 million (US$369,000) >100%
Adjusted net income (loss) per share attributable to shareholders US$0.15 US$0.00 >100%
Monthly recurring revenue (MRR) US$29.9 million US$18.5 million 61.6%
Gross merchandise volume (GMV) US$9.1 billion US$5.5 billion 65.5%
Shopify Capital cash advances US$39.7 million US$14.7 million 170.0%

And here’s a quick breakdown of eight notable statistics from Shopify’s 12-month period ended December 31, 2017, compared with the same period in 2016:

Metric Fiscal 2017 Fiscal 2016 Change
Subscription solutions revenues US$310.03 million US$188.61 million 64.4%
Merchant solutions revenues US$363.27 million US$200.72 million 81.0%
Total revenues US$673.30 million US$389.33 million 72.9%
Non-GAAP gross profit US$381.53 million US$210.21 million 81.5%
Adjusted operating income (loss) US$6.05 million (US$12.14 million) >100%
Adjusted net income (loss) US$15.21 million (US$10.33 million) >100%
Adjusted net income (loss) per share attributable to shareholders US$0.16 (US$0.12) >100%
GMV US$26.3 billion US$15.4 billion 70.8%

Outlook on 2018

In the press release, Shopify also provided its outlook on the first quarter and full year of fiscal 2018; here’s a breakdown of what the company expects to accomplish:

Metric Q1 2018 Outlook Fiscal 2018
Total revenues US$198 million to US$202 million US$970 million to US$990 million
GAAP operating loss US$25 million to US$27 million US$95 million to US$105 million
Adjusted operating income (loss) (US$6 million to US$8 million) (US$5 million) to US$5 million

What should you do with Shopify now?

The fourth quarter was outstanding in every way for Shopify, and the results surpassed analysts’ expectations, which called for adjusted EPS of US$0.05 on revenue of US$209.7 billion.

The fourth quarter also capped off a phenomenal year for the company, in which it grew its revenue by over 70% and it swung to a solid adjusted profit, and its outlook calls for very strong growth going forward, so I think the market should have responded by sending its stock significantly higher; that being said, I think any weakness in today’s trading session represents an attractive entry point for long-term investors, because Shopify is one of the best growth stocks in the market today, and because I think its growth will accelerate when recreational cannabis is legalized later this year.

With all of the information provided above in mind, I think all Foolish investors should strongly consider using the post-earnings weakness in Shopify to initiate long-term positions with the intention of adding to those positions on any further weakness in the trading sessions ahead.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Joseph Solitro has no position in any stocks mentioned. Tom Gardner owns shares of Shopify. The Motley Fool owns shares of Shopify and SHOPIFY INC. Shopify is a recommendation of Stock Advisor Canada.

More on Tech Stocks

A worker uses a double monitor computer screen in an office.
Tech Stocks

Why Shopify Stock Sold Off Last Week

Shopify (TSX:SHOP) sold off heavily last week. A bad earnings release may have been the culprit.

Read more »

Hand arranging wood block stacking as step stair with arrow up.
Tech Stocks

2 Phenomenal Growth Stocks Down 30-60% That Could Rally in the Next Bull Market

Is it time to buy growth stocks? The worst of the interest rate hike and inflation is over, and now…

Read more »

stock market
Tech Stocks

2 Best Tech Stocks to Buy Before the Next Bull Market

Tech stocks such as Roku and Nuvei can help long-term investors generate outsized gains in 2023 and beyond.

Read more »

Wireless technology
Tech Stocks

Tucows Stock Trades Near its 6-Year Low: Is it a Buy?  

Tucows stock fell 63% in the tech stock sell-off and has failed to show any recovery. Is this domain and…

Read more »

Male IT Specialist Holds Laptop and Discusses Work with Female Server Technician. They're Standing in Data Center, Rack Server Cabinet with Cloud Server Icon and Visualization
Tech Stocks

Is Converge Stock a Buy?

A relatively new tech stock could soar higher with the pause in rate hikes, although a resumption of the cycle…

Read more »

online shopping
Tech Stocks

Up by 25%: Is Shopify Stock Finally a Buy in 2023?

The strong rebound in the TSX’s top tech stock remains uncertain. Investors will have to wait before it delivers stellar…

Read more »

Businessman holding AI cloud
Tech Stocks

2 TSX Tech Stocks Innovating Hard in AI

Shopify (TSX:SHOP) stock and another intriguing Canadian gem make good use of AI technologies.

Read more »

worry concern
Tech Stocks

Shopify Stock: Incredible Bargain or Deceptive Trap?

Shopify has quickly shifted from a market darling to something else. Is it a safe buy or risqué bet?

Read more »