How to Identify Superior Growth Stocks

Between Shopify Inc. (TSX:SHOP)(NYSE:SHOP) and Spin Master Corp. (TSX:TOY), which would you invest in for growth?

| More on:
You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s premium investing services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn moresdf

Buying growth stocks can enhance your portfolio returns. Take a look at the price chart of Shopify Inc. (TSX:SHOP)(NYSE:SHOP). Despite the stock dipping ~15% in the last few days — due largely to the release of a bearish report — amazingly, the stock is still up ~124% in the last 12 months.

One would invest in Shopify for its perceived bright future of riding on the e-commerce megatrend. The tech company has been growing its revenue at a rapid pace. In its latest quarter, Shopify’s revenue was up nearly 75% from the same quarter in the prior year. However, the company is still losing money overall.

I think Spin Master Corp. (TSX:TOY) is a better growth stock. On top of growing revenue, it also has growing earnings and rising cash flow.

exponential growth

Growing revenue

In its latest quarter, Spin Master’s revenue was up almost 55% from the same quarter in the previous year. And its 2016 revenue was 31% higher than it was in 2015.

Spin Master was founded in 1994 and became a publicly traded company in July 2015; since then, the stock has appreciated nearly 167%. The co-founders are still running the show and growing the company on four pillars: innovate across its business segments, increase sales in higher-growth markets, develop evergreen global entertainment properties, and make strategic acquisitions.

The results can be seen through its growing earnings.

Growing earnings

From 2015 to 2016, Spin Master’s earnings per share increased by 16%. Analysts believe the company will continue growing its earnings per share by at least 13% per year for the next few years.

Growing cash flow

From 2015 to 2016, Spin Master increased its operating cash flow by 30%. Moreover, it has a pattern of growing free cash flow as well. In the trailing 12 months, the company generated US$80 million of free cash flow.

One more important metric

In the last two years, Spin Master had a return on equity of at least 41%. High returns on equity indicate management is allocating capital in the right places for high returns.

Is Spin Master a good buy now?

As recently as August, Spin Master launched its popular Hatchimals and PAW Patrol brands in China. Under current management, the company should remain a great growth stock.

At under $49 per share, Spin Master trades at a multiple of 24.3. Given its double-digit growth, the stock is reasonably valued.

Looking at the history of its stock price, you can see dramatic dips of ~10-20% from peak to trough. So, if you’re looking for a bigger margin of safety, consider the stock on such dips.

Investor takeaway

To identify superior growth stocks, look for companies that grow their revenue, earnings, and cash flow at above-average rates. Such companies should also have high returns on equity and be trading at reasonable multiples. This kind of investment should lead to superior returns.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

 Fool contributor Kay Ng has shares in Shopify and Spin Master. Tom Gardner owns shares of Shopify. The Motley Fool owns shares of Shopify and SHOPIFY INC. Shopify is a recommendation of Stock Advisor Canada.

More on Tech Stocks

A worker uses a double monitor computer screen in an office.
Tech Stocks

Why Shopify Stock Sold Off Last Week

Shopify (TSX:SHOP) sold off heavily last week. A bad earnings release may have been the culprit.

Read more »

Hand arranging wood block stacking as step stair with arrow up.
Tech Stocks

2 Phenomenal Growth Stocks Down 30-60% That Could Rally in the Next Bull Market

Is it time to buy growth stocks? The worst of the interest rate hike and inflation is over, and now…

Read more »

stock market
Tech Stocks

2 Best Tech Stocks to Buy Before the Next Bull Market

Tech stocks such as Roku and Nuvei can help long-term investors generate outsized gains in 2023 and beyond.

Read more »

Wireless technology
Tech Stocks

Tucows Stock Trades Near its 6-Year Low: Is it a Buy?  

Tucows stock fell 63% in the tech stock sell-off and has failed to show any recovery. Is this domain and…

Read more »

Male IT Specialist Holds Laptop and Discusses Work with Female Server Technician. They're Standing in Data Center, Rack Server Cabinet with Cloud Server Icon and Visualization
Tech Stocks

Is Converge Stock a Buy?

A relatively new tech stock could soar higher with the pause in rate hikes, although a resumption of the cycle…

Read more »

online shopping
Tech Stocks

Up by 25%: Is Shopify Stock Finally a Buy in 2023?

The strong rebound in the TSX’s top tech stock remains uncertain. Investors will have to wait before it delivers stellar…

Read more »

Businessman holding AI cloud
Tech Stocks

2 TSX Tech Stocks Innovating Hard in AI

Shopify (TSX:SHOP) stock and another intriguing Canadian gem make good use of AI technologies.

Read more »

worry concern
Tech Stocks

Shopify Stock: Incredible Bargain or Deceptive Trap?

Shopify has quickly shifted from a market darling to something else. Is it a safe buy or risqué bet?

Read more »