Should You Buy Vermilion Energy Inc. Today?

Vermilion Energy Inc. (TSX:VET)(NYSE:VET) is your best bet as a mid-cap oil & gas producer today. All of its peers have slashed their dividends in the past couple of years, but Vermilion’s dividend has stayed strong. Should you buy its shares today?

| More on:
The Motley Fool
You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s premium investing services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn moresdf

Most of the time, when you talk about energy companies, you think of the big guys such as Enbridge Inc., TransCanada Corporation, and Suncor Energy Inc. But there’s a smaller, mid-cap oil and gas producer that’s worth a look.

Vermilion Energy Inc. (TSX:VET)(NYSE:VET) is reporting its second-quarter earnings results today, August 10. Most energy companies are reporting bad results due to the tanking of the oil price, and I think Vermilion Energy won’t get away from that either, but at least it is diversified globally.

The business

Vermilion Energy is an international oil and gas producer with 20 years of experience. It has leading positions in high netback businesses in North America, Europe, and Australia. Its business model targets annual organic production growth of roughly 5% and aims to provide reliable, increasing dividends to investors.

For 2015, Vermilion is targeting 11-15% in production growth over 2014 through the exploration and development of natural gas opportunities in the Netherlands and Germany.

Outperforms peers

Compared with its mid-cap peers Baytex Energy Corp., Bonavista Energy Corp., and Enerplus Corp., Vermilion Energy has outperformed them in total returns across multiple time frames, from 15 years, 10 years, five years, down to its year-to-date performance.

Even though year-to-date Vermilion is down by 19%, it is still your best bet in a mid-cap oil and gas producer today.

Dividend

So far, its peers have cut their dividends one after another. Baytex Energy cut its dividend at the end of 2014. Bonavista Energy slashed its dividend in 2013, and again in 2015. Enerplus cut its dividend in March. Yet Vermilion Energy has still maintained its dividend thus far.

In fact, in 12 years Vermilion Energy has never once cut its dividend, but raised it three times, increasing it by 26% over the period.

Valuation

It’s difficult to evaluate energy companies now because the oil price is low and we don’t know how long it will stay low. Vermilion Energy estimates its funds-from-operations will drop by 30% in 2015 compared with last year, which implies the shares could drop below $40.

In conclusion

I’m not encouraging the timing of the market, but around earnings report time, the market can get especially emotional about a company. Vermilion Energy could go up or down 8% in one day.

Because energy companies are particularly volatile in the current harsh environment, Foolish investors can act cautiously by seeing how the shares react after the earnings report before considering a position.

Today at under $45, it’s not a bad time for a long-term position in this quality company, but if it moves under $40, that would be a more prudent entry point.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Kay Ng owns shares of Enbridge, Inc. (USA), Suncor Energy, Inc. (USA), and Vermilion Energy.

More on Dividend Stocks

growing plant shoots on stacked coins
Dividend Stocks

5 Dividend Stocks to Buy With Yields Upwards of 5%

These five companies all earn tonnes of cash flow, making them some of the best long-term dividend stocks you can…

Read more »

funds, money, nest egg
Dividend Stocks

TFSA Investors: 3 Stocks to Start Building an Influx of Passive Income

A TFSA is the ideal registered account for passive income, as it doesn't weigh down your tax bill, and any…

Read more »

A red umbrella stands higher than a crowd of black umbrellas.
Dividend Stocks

3 of the Safest Dividend Stocks in Canada

Royal Bank of Canada stock is one of the safest TSX dividend stocks to buy. So is CT REIT and…

Read more »

Growing plant shoots on coins
Dividend Stocks

1 of the Top Canadian Growth Stocks to Buy in February 2023

Many top Canadian growth stocks represent strong underlying businesses, healthy financials, and organic growth opportunities.

Read more »

stock research, analyze data
Dividend Stocks

Wherever the Market Goes, I’m Buying These 3 TSX Stocks

Here are three TSX stocks that could outperform irrespective of the market direction.

Read more »

woman data analyze
Dividend Stocks

1 Oversold Dividend Stock (Yielding 6.5%) to Buy This Month

Here's why SmartCentres REIT (TSX:SRU.UN) is one top dividend stock that long-term investors should consider in this current market.

Read more »

IMAGE OF A NOTEBOOK WITH TFSA WRITTEN ON IT
Dividend Stocks

Better TFSA Buy: Enbridge Stock or Bank of Nova Scotia

Enbridge and Bank of Nova Scotia offer high yields for TFSA investors seeking passive income. Is one stock now undervalued?

Read more »

Golden crown on a red velvet background
Dividend Stocks

2 Top Stocks Just Became Canadian Dividend Aristocrats

These two top Canadian Dividend Aristocrats stocks are reliable companies with impressive long-term growth potential.

Read more »